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Weekly Newsletter

 

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RECAP FOR THE WEEK OF: Mar 30, 2009

Market should continue its rally for a few more weeks before taking out the low of March 6-10, but right now we could see a short, but sharp, decline.

Since the economic mess started in Sept 2008, there have been 3 rallies:

Oct 10 to Nov 4: DJIA + 1772 points
Nov 12 to Jan 6: DJIA +1639 points
This time the DJIA is up +1461 points.

Another factor to consider is the violence/aggression cycle is peaking again. Does North Korea launch its missle? Does Isreal bomb Iran? Is there another big terrorist attack around the corner? This can also coincide with events in nature such as storms, earthquakes and volcano eruptions. Hey, isn't there one letting off steam in Alaska?

Another cycle that is starting to peak is volatility.

Most active day should be Friday.

Follow up:

Subscribers were alerted that Monday was a reversal date. Monday's point change was -254 following a loss on the previous Friday, then up the rest of the week.

Wednesday's intraday range was 310 points

"violence/aggression cycle is peaking again"

Shooting in Binghamton, New York
Shooting in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
North Korea launches a long-range rocket
Five children were found shot to death in a home near Tacoma, Washington, Saturday afternoon

 

View past OEX REVERSAL dates.


FORECAST FOR THE WEEK OF: Apr 06, 2009

Volatility cycle should continue this week.

Expect the markets to move down.

Greatest activity is expected on Thursday or Friday.

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FINANCIAL EVENTS THIS COMING WEEK

Monday, 06-Apr-2009

11:00 4-Week Bill Announcement
11:00 3-Yr Note Announcement
11:00 10-Yr Note Announcement
01:00 3-Month Bill Auction
01:00 6-Month Bill Auction
03:00 Treasury STRIPS

Tuesday, 07-Apr-2009

07:45 ICSC-Goldman Store Sales
08:55 Redbook
01:00 4-Week Bill Auction
01:00 52-Week Bill Auction
01:00 10-Yr TIPS Auction
03:00 Consumer Credit

Wednesday, 08-Apr-2009

07:00 MBA Purchase Applications
10:00 Wholesale Trade
10:30 EIA Petroleum Status Report
01:00 3-Yr Note Auction
02:00 FOMC Minutes

Thursday, 09-Apr-2009

08:30 International Trade
08:30 Jobless Claims
08:30 Import and Export Prices
09:00 RBC CASH Index
09:56 Full Moon
10:30 EIA Natural Gas Report
11:00 3-Month Bill Announcement
11:00 6-Month Bill Announcement
01:00 10-Yr Note Auction
02:00
04:30 Money Supply

Friday, 10-Apr-2009

02:00 Treasury Budget

Source: MyPivots

 
 

Please contact me with any questions/comments.

--Rob

The Option Signal Service

Copyright 2009 Handler & Associates, Inc.

 
 
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