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Weekly Newsletter

 

GUMMY FINANCIAL WORKBOOKS

There is a gentleman who goes by the name "Gummy", and has for years been producing some very interesting Excel Workbooks have to do with financial subjects: stock analysis and prediction, option calculator, and the list goes on and on.

Gummy posted on his site that he no longer wishes to prusue this path, and is kno longer answering questions concerning these workbook. I copied all the workbook to the OSS site. I encourage to take a look site. What he has produced is really amazing.

http://www.oss.cc/oss_free_stuff.asp

U.S. Debt Clock http://www.usdebtclock.org/ tick....tick....tick......tick.....BOOM!

Debt per U.S. citizen at the end of last week was: $38,963 up $60 this week.

Check out other amazing facts U.S. Citizens shoud take a peek at USDebtClock.org


RECAP FOR THE WEEK OF: Nov 9th, 2009

Previoius Forecast:

From the 1938 low to the 1938 high was 8 months.

From the 2009 low plus 8 months puts us in the time frame of 11/09. That is Monday!
Source: http://finance.groups.yahoo.com/group/gann_harmonic_traders/message/8382

The market is in for an abrupt turn. The next 2 weeks should see a great deal of movement. Could be a return of "irrational exuberance" for a bout of panic. I'll go with the panic. The market has been shrugging off bad news and continuing higher even with weeks of bearish divergence. Expect to see some news concerning something that has been hidden over the last few months, maybe going back as far as the end of August. Remember that 10/30/09 was a Gann weekly reversal. So, where is the reversal? Coming soon.

I am still holding my .25 ^OEX puts. Worth absolutely nothing right now. We'll see where they go this week.

Most active day this week should be Tuesday.

Follow-up

Monday was the big mover this week (^DJI +203). Off by one again.

We got exuberance not panic this last week. As predicted, it could have gone either way. Let us not forget many foreign exchanges did move down. The Nikki re-tested some recent lows.

Wednesday was the high for the week, and if thing work out according to the 1938 model, that will be the last high we see for awhile.

Gold hit an all-time high. Fits well with our prediction it would go higher during the middle of November.

 

View past OEX REVERSAL dates.


FORECAST FOR THE WEEK OF: Nov 16th, 2009

This week is chuck full of cycles turning. I am making the call for the downtrend to start now.

The M1-cycle hits agin on Monday. Lately, the cycle has been in almost perfect sync with the markets. Here are the previous dates it hit: 10/05/09, 10/19/09, 11/02/09. Get a chart of the DJI or OEX, and checkout these dates.

Another indicator that has been working well in this market is the Gann reversal signals. We have another on Wednesday (11/19/09) of this week.

Buying OEX puts would be a reasonable thought at this time.

Most active day this week should be Monday If we don't see a 3-digit move on Monday, then watch for one on Thursday..

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RECENT SINGLE DAY MOVER PREDICTION RESULTS

WEEK OF
PREDICTED
ACTUAL
NOTE
05/04 05/04
05/04  
05/11 05/11
 
05/13 11th was 2nd
05/18 05/18
05/18  
05/18 5/21 2nd
5/21 was 2nd  
05/25 05/26 or 05/27
05/26 27th was 2nd
06/01 06/01
06/01  
06/08
06/11 or 06/12
06/11
12th was 2nd
06/15 06/15 06/15  
06/22 06/22 06/22  
06/29 06/29   07/02 06/29 was 2nd
07/06 07/06  1 07/07 Early by one
07/20 07/20   07/23 07/20 was 2nd
07/27 07/29  1 07/30 Early by one
08/10 08/10   08/12 Missed
08/17 08/17 08/17  
08/24 08/26  1 08/27 Early by one
08/31 09/01 09/01  
09/07 09/10 09/10  
09/14 09/17 1 09/16 Late by one
09/21 09/23 09/23  
09/28 10/01 10/01
10/05 10/05 1 10/06 Early by one
10/26 10/26 or 10/29 1 10/30 Early by one
11/09 11/10 1 11/09 Late by one

 

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FINANCIAL EVENTS THIS COMING WEEK

Monday, 16-Nov-2009
08:30 Retail Sales
08:30 Empire State Mfg Survey
10:00 Business Inventories
11:00 4-Week Bill Announcement
12:00 Ben Bernanke Speaks
01:00 3-Month Bill Auction
01:00 6-Month Bill Auction

Tuesday, 17-Nov-2009
07:45 ICSC-Goldman Store Sales
08:30 Producer Price Index
08:55 Redbook
09:00 Treasury International Capital
09:15 Industrial Production
10:00 Jeffrey Lacker Speaks
01:00 Housing Market Index
01:00 4-Week Bill Auction
01:00 52-Week Bill Auction

 


Wednesday, 18-Nov-2009
07:00 MBA Purchase Applications
08:30 Consumer Price Index
08:30 Housing Starts
10:30 EIA Petroleum Status Report

Thursday, 19-Nov-2009
08:30 Jobless Claims
10:00 Leading Indicators
10:00 Philadelphia Fed Survey
10:30 EIA Natural Gas Report
11:00 3-Month Bill Announcement
11:00 6-Month Bill Announcement
11:00 2-Yr Note Announcement
11:00 5-Yr Note Announcement
11:00 7-Yr Note Announcement
04:30 Fed Balance Sheet
04:30 Money Supply
04:45 Richard Fisher Speaks

 

Source: MyPivots

 

 
 

Please contact me with any questions/comments.

--Rob

The Option Signal Service

Copyright 2009 Handler & Associates, Inc.

 
 
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