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Weekly Newsletter

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RECAP FOR THE WEEK OF: Jan 25th, 2010

Markets have been moving in a ever narrowing wedge for a number of months. Last week the OEX, QQQQ, and many other markets finally broke-out of the wedge to the downside. This points to further declines.

Monday the markets made a 15-month high before turning down. There are a number of important factors associated with this high pointing to lower lows:

• It came one week before the Gann weekly reversal we have been waiting for.
• Monday was a 50% retracement from the high in Oct 08 to the low in Mar 09.
• Candlesticks last week show an almost perfect Three Black Crows reversal.

If markets move up, or go sideways during the first part of the week, expect sharp loses on Thursday and/or Friday.

This week we have a weekly Gann reversal and a daily Gann reversal on 1/27.

Last week, OSS subscribers were told to buy OEX puts.

I expect Thursday to be the big mover this week. Don't forget Jobless Claims will released on Thursday.

Follow-up

The market did move down, and our "expect sharp loses on Thursday and/or Friday" certainly came true.

Thursday was the big mover. Another bulls-eye.

Reversal chart for Sept - Nov has been posted. View here

FORECAST FOR THE WEEK OF: Feb 1, 2010

I expect the week to either rally alittle, or go side-ways. On the other hand, cycles and indicators are really negative, a free fall south is possible, but I don't think we'll see it this week; after last week's drop, I can see the markets taking a breather. Additionally, the first week of the month usually sees some gains. After this week, a free fall is very possible.

No big mover this week, but I do expect Tuesday to be UP.

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RECENT SINGLE DAY BIG MOVER PREDICTION RESULTS

WEEK OF	PREDICTED		ACTUAL	NOTE
05/04	05/04		05/04
05/11	05/11		05/13	11th was 2nd
05/18	05/18		05/18
05/18	5/21 2nd		5/21 was 2nd
05/25	05/26 or 05/27		05/26	27th was 2nd
06/01	06/01		06/01
06/08	06/11 or 06/12		06/11	12th was 2nd
06/15	06/15		06/15
06/22	06/22		06/22
06/29	06/29		07/02	06/29 was 2nd
07/06	07/06	1	07/07	Early by one
07/20	07/20		07/23	07/20 was 2nd
07/27	07/29	1	07/30	Early by one
08/10	08/10		08/12	Missed
08/17	08/17		08/17
08/24	08/26	1	08/27	Early by one
08/31	09/01		09/01
09/07	09/10		09/10
09/14	09/17	1	09/16	Late by one
09/21	09/23		09/23
09/28	10/01		10/01
10/05	10/05	1	10/06	Early by one
10/26	10/26 or 10/29	1	10/30	Early by one
11/09	11/10	1	11/09	Late by one
11/16	11/16		11/16
11/30	12/02	1	12/01	Late by one
12/07	12/11		12/08	Way off! :-(
12/14	12/17		12/17	-132.86
01/04	01/07	2	01/04	2nd biggest move
01/11	01/14 or 01/15		01/15
01/18	01/19		01/22
01/25	01/28		01/28

RECENT SINGLE DAY UP/DOWN INDICATOR RESULTS

DATE	PREDICTED		RESULT	NOTE
12/17	UP		UP	+20.63
01/04	UP		UP	+155.91

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