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Weekly Newsletter

 
Option Day Plays Service Results
DATE OPTION PROFIT HIGH/LOW
SCORE 4 winners / 5 losers
2/23/2010 CTV 25 CALL 20% 50%
2/23/2010 EXPD 37.50 PUT -20% -20%
2/24/2010 STEC 10 CALLS 20% 46%
2/24/2010 ADSK 27 PUTS -20% -20%
2/24/2010 POT 115 CALL -20% -20%
2/25/2010 PALM 7 CALLS 20% 75%
2/25/2010 DPS 35 CALLS -20% -20%
2/25/2010 CCE 25 PUTS -20% -20%
2/26/2010 RST 22.50 CALL 20% 100%
2/26/2010 CKR 10 CALL 0% 0%
2/26/2010 ATHN 40 CALLS 0% 0%

 

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RECAP FOR THE WEEK OF: Feb 22, 2010

I expect a negative week. Cycles are changing direction and the 26th is a Gann reversal date.

The markets are, and will continue, to discount the threat of a financial collapse in Europe until it actually happens, if it happens. Except a test of resistance Monday. A pull-back now could last through April. I see the beginning of a intense, worrisome, and possibly fearful cycle starting.

The violent weather cycle is picking up speed. Expect news worthy acts of nature, like high winds, earthquakes, volcano eruptions.

Friday should be down.

Wednesday should be the big mover.

Follow-up

^DJI lost 77 points this week. Thursday was down -53 points at the close, but Friday was down by -218 points intraday. Tuesday had the largest closing price for the week, but Friday's large intraday move can not be overlooked.

The predicted big mover for the week was Wednesday. As if often the case when we get the big mover for the week wrong, it usually occures the following day.

As predicted, we saw mother nature kick-up her heals this week with the Chilian earthquake.

The week was bullish, and the end of the week was less bullish than the first part.

 

Option Day Plays Service Results
DATE OPEN HIGH LOW CLOSE CHG CHG % HIGH
CHG
HIGH
CHG %
LOW
CHG
LOW
CHG %
   
02/22/10 10402.43 10468.55 10333.05 10383.38 -18.97 -0.18% 66.20 0.64% -69.30 -0.67%
02/23/10 10383.16 10430.16 10239.34 10282.41 -100.97 -0.97% 46.78 0.45% -144.04 -1.39%
02/24/10 10284.00 10416.94 10271.61 10374.16 91.75 0.89% 134.53 1.31% -10.80 -0.11%
02/25/10 10366.60 10366.60 10155.75 10321.03 -53.13 -0.51% -7.56 -0.07% -218.41 -2.11%
02/26/10 10321.41 10391.24 10250.45 10325.26 4.23 0.04% 70.21 0.68% -70.58 -0.68%

FORECAST FOR THE WEEK OF: Mar 1, 2010

I expect to see a small rally in the beginning of the week, then we go down.

As for the month of March, cycles show a pretty negative picture. Expect to see explosive moves. There are strong similarities here to the 1930-1931 markets. I have been say for awhile now that we are going to see new lows in the March to May time span.

Important reversal dates this month are 3rd, 7th, 15th, and the 23rd.

Big mover this week looks like Tuesday.


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RECENT SINGLE DAY BIG MOVER PREDICTION RESULTS

WEEK OF
PREDICTED
ACTUAL
NOTE
05/04 05/04
05/04  
05/11 05/11
 
05/13 11th was 2nd
05/18 05/18
05/18  
05/18 5/21 2nd
5/21 was 2nd  
05/25 05/26 or 05/27
05/26 27th was 2nd
06/01 06/01
06/01  
06/08
06/11 or 06/12
06/11
12th was 2nd
06/15 06/15 06/15  
06/22 06/22 06/22  
06/29 06/29   07/02 06/29 was 2nd
07/06 07/06  1 07/07 Early by one
07/20 07/20   07/23 07/20 was 2nd
07/27 07/29  1 07/30 Early by one
08/10 08/10   08/12 Missed
08/17 08/17 08/17  
08/24 08/26  1 08/27 Early by one
08/31 09/01 09/01  
09/07 09/10 09/10  
09/14 09/17 1 09/16 Late by one
09/21 09/23 09/23  
09/28 10/01 10/01  
10/05 10/05 1 10/06 Early by one
10/26 10/26 or 10/29 1 10/30 Early by one
11/09 11/10 1 11/09 Late by one
11/16 11/16 11/16  
11/30 12/02 1 12/01 Late by one
12/07 12/11 12/08 Way off! :-(
12/14 12/17 12/17 -132.86
01/04 01/07 2 01/04 2nd biggest move
01/11 01/14 or 01/15 01/15  
01/18 01/19 01/22  
01/25 01/28 01/28  
02/08 02/12 02/09 Way off! :-(
02/22 02/24 02/25 Off by 1

RECENT SINGLE DAY UP/DOWN INDICATOR RESULTS

DATE
PREDICTED
RESULT
NOTE
12/17/10 UP UP +20
01/04/10 UP UP +155
02/02/10 UP UP +111
02/12/10 DOWN DOWN +40.43

 

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FINANCIAL EVENTS THIS COMING WEEK

Monday, 01-Mar-2010

08:30 Personal Income and Outlays
10:00 ISM Mfg Index
10:00 Construction Spending
11:00 4-Week Bill Announcement
11:30 3-Month Bill Auction
11:30 6-Month Bill Auction

Tuesday, 02-Mar-2010

07:45 ICSC-Goldman Store Sales
08:55 Redbook
11:30 4-Week Bill Auction
01:00 Eric Rosengren Speaks
02:00 Naranyana Kocherlakota Speaks

Wednesday, 03-Mar-2010

07:00 MBA Purchase Applications
07:30 Challenger Job-Cut Report
08:15 ADP Employment Report
10:00 ISM Non-Mfg Index
10:30 EIA Petroleum Status Report
02:00 Beige Book

Thursday, 04-Mar-2010

06:00 Monster Employment Index
08:30 Jobless Claims
08:30 Productivity and Costs
09:00 RBC CASH Index
09:00 30-Yr Bond Announcement
10:00 Factory Orders
10:00 Pending Home Sales Index
10:30 EIA Natural Gas Report
11:00 3-Month Bill Announcement
11:00 6-Month Bill Announcement
11:00 52-Week Bill Announcement
11:00 3-Yr Note Announcement
11:00 10-Yr Note Announcement
03:00 Treasury STRIPS
04:30 Fed Balance Sheet
04:30 Money Supply

Source: MyPivots

 

 

 
 

Please contact me with any questions/comments.

--Rob

The Option Signal Service

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