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RECAP
FOR THE WEEK OF: Aug 9, 2010
Last week, I wrote:
This week is crammed with so much stuff..... This week, I
write: This week is so full of reversal signals, I am again
tightening the seat belt.
The OSS reversal
on Monday worked out nicely with a +200 point move. Another
OSS reversal was on Thursday, but it is hard to say if Friday's
intraday loss of -183 points was the full extent of the reversal,
or if there is more to come this week.
UPDATE:
For the record, we did not see anything around the end of
July that would indicate the "peek into the future"
I was hoping for. But the astrological Cardinal Climax we
are going through is big, and stretched out over time. I am
confident when we look back at 2010, we will see that it did
indeed have a big effect on the markets. While we have not
seen anything unusual in the markets, the weather has been
making the headlines:
If
we move down into the 13th, we should see a rally for the
next two weeks. Take a look at the chart below,
and you'll see the markets are in an upward wedge that should
turn down any time. Arrows indicate OSS reversals usually
calculated three days in advance. The DJI hit its short-term
high this last week, and so did many markets around the world.
Looks like a tipping point to me.

The Cardinal
Climax is
not just a financial event, it is just bad for everything,
and if we do see the markets crash over the next few months,
the cause may not be financial this time. Let's look at some
of the unusual events happing in the world right now:
- Rains in Asia
have displaced over a million people.
- Heat wave in
Europe.
- Fires in Russia
raise air quality in Moscow over 6 times the safe limits.
- Russia bans
export of grains. Grain prices soar!
- Treasuries have
risen to their highest levels since the Panic of 2008
I believe more
events like these are ahead this month.
The astrological
events this month have been called a once-in-a-lifetime event,
and they truely are. I don't usually speak much of astrological
indicators other than to mention a reversal may be come, and
even then, I do not get into the astro-techie types, but this
month I think it is worth it.
Astrology 101
- Aspects are the degrees of separation with respect to
longitude
- Major aspects are:
- Conjunction (0º) -- Negative or Positive depending
on the planets involved
- Squares (90º) -- Negative
- Trines (120º) -- Positive
- Oppositions (180º) -- Negative
- When three or more planets form aspects to each other
as on the 1st and 2nd with Jupiter, Mars and Pluto, this
combination of aspects is believed to deliver a double or
triple punch.
- Aspects with respect to Latitude (Declination: the up
and down position of a planet) are Parallel (both planets
are at the same Latitude) and Contraparallel (both planets
are at the same degree of Latitude but one is South and
the other is North.
- Retrograde is the term used to explain a planet that starts
moving backwards. Well, it doesn't really, but from our
view point on the Earth, that is the way it works. It is
said that when Mercury goes retrograde, communications get
screwed-up, and things started seldom end with good results.
See the 20th.
OK. class begins. Look at the table below. Have this number
of major aspects in one month is highly unusual. Of all the
aspects, only one could be considered Positive (Venus Conjunct
Mars on the 20th). Now, get out your pencils and see how many
times there are three or more planets involved in a combination
of aspects to each other. Once in awhile you might find ONE
of these in a month. Start connecting the dots--there is a
surprise here.
The (*) marks days when the number of aspects with respect
to Latitude are really unusually high. I do not remember see
anything like this.
DATE
|
ASTRO EVENTS
|
| 08/01/10 |
Jupiter Square Pluto |
| 08/02/10 |
Mars Oppose Jupiter, Mars Square Pluto |
| 08/03/10 |
|
| 08/04/10 |
|
| 08/05/10 |
|
| 08/06/10 |
|
| 08/07/10 |
Venus Oppose Uranus, Venus Parrallel Uranus |
| 08/08/10 |
Venus Conjunct Saturn |
| 08/09/10 |
Venus square Pluto, Venus Oppose Jupiter |
| 08/10/10 |
|
| 08/11/10 |
|
| 08/12/10 |
(*) |
| 08/13/10 |
|
| 08/14/10 |
|
| 08/15/10 |
|
| 08/16/10 |
Jupiter Oppose Saturn |
| 08/17/10 |
|
| 08/18/10 |
|
| 08/19/10 |
|
| 08/20/10 |
Sun Oppose Neptune, Venus Conjunct Mars, Mercury retrograde
|
| 08/21/10 |
Saturn Square Pluto |
| 08/22/10 |
|
| 08/23/10 |
|
| 08/24/10 |
|
| 08/25/10 |
|
| 08/26/10 |
(*) |
| 08/27/10 |
|
| 08/28/10 |
|
| 08/29/10 |
|
| 08/30/10 |
|
| 08/31/10 |
|
What we are looking at this month is as close to a full-blown
cosmic combinatorics catastrophe you will see in your life-time.
Follow-up
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
We
were expecting a breakout to the downside from the upward
wedge, and we got it.
TRADING
RESULTS
OEX
AUG10 475 PUT -- We entered this trade on 8/5 @ $1.25, and
hung on to it as long as the markets looked like a downtrend
was coming. By 8/9, the price has fallen by 50%, but the market
has still not made a significant move, and was still showing
signs of moving lower. On 8/12, we finally got our move lower,
and the bid price reached a high of $3.00 (+140%).
OEX
AUG10 465 PUT -- On 8/10 subscribers where told to buy Puts
near the close on 8/11 in anticipation of a big move down
on Thursday or Friday. With the surprise move on Wednesday,
subscribers were told to buy Puts at their discretion. I record
the price @ $1.10 15 minutes after the Alert went out. It
opened at $1.70 (+55%), then fell the rest of the day. Bid
price hit a low of $0.60 later in the day.
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
^DJI
RESULTS
| DATE |
OPEN |
HIGH |
LOW |
CLOSE |
CHG |
CHG
% |
HIGH
CHG |
HIGH
CHG % |
LOW
CHG |
LOW
CHG % |
| |
|
| 08/09/10 | 10654.62 | 10755.66 | 10618.26 | 10698.75 | 45.19 | 0.42% | 102.10 | 0.96% | -35.30 | -0.33% |
| 08/10/10 | 10696.63 | 10717.21 | 10522.63 | 10644.25 | -54.50 | -0.51% | 18.46 | 0.17% | -176.12 | -1.65% |
| 08/11/10 | 10631.82 | 10631.82 | 10339.63 | 10378.83 |
-265.42 |
-2.49% | -12.43 | -0.12% | -304.62 | -2.86% |
| 08/12/10 | 10361.58 | 10388.37 | 10222.85 | 10319.95 | -58.88 | -0.57% | 9.54 | 0.09% | -155.98 | -1.50% |
| 08/13/10 | 10320.33 | 10381.86 | 10254.18 | 10303.15 | -16.80 | -0.16% | 61.91 | 0.60% | -65.77 | -0.64% |
FORECAST
FOR THE WEEK OF: AUG 16, 2010
I have mentioned the August 11-13 period as a reversal point
in previous newsletters. Last week I stated: "If
we move down into the 13th, we should see a rally for the
next two weeks." We did move down to a short-term
low last week, so the next two weeks should be higher. Monday
could see the markets go even lower before we turn up.
Day of the Month Indicator is showing a move higher from
Monday through Wednesday, then down for the rest of the week.
Of interest this last week was the use of the word "depression"
by the talking heads on CNBC. Also, a segment on how the chart
similarities between today's market and that of Great Depression
is almost a carbon copy. Scary.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Raymond Merriman sees trouble ahead:
Equities were not the only financial markets to make noteworthy
moves last week. The most important development was in the
U.S. Treasury markets, which blasted upwards following
the Feds decision to resume purchase of these very long-term
debt obligations of the U.S. Government. We said there could
be a bubble, and if it happened in Treasures, it would result
in Double Bubble Trouble. Indeed, that
seems to be happening now as Treasuries approach the levels
present in the height of the 2008 Panic. The Feds decision
makes one wonder if things are progressing so badly that there
is real danger of another economic and market collapse. Why
would they take Treasuries back to the level of the 2008 crisis
days if the economy was improving and stabilizing as the White
House and its Economic Dream Team continues to
insist? Somebody is not telling the whole story to the American
people and the world. Dont take my word for it. Take
the word of the San Francisco Federal Reserve Bank report
issued last week, stating that
the probability
that the U.S. economy will slip back into recession over the
next two years is higher than that of economic expansion.
(CNBC.com, August 10).
Written by Raymond Merriman
Source: http://www.mmacycles.com/weekly-preview/mma-comments-for-the-week/mma-comments-for-the-week-beginning-august-16,-2010/
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Follow up of the Hindenburg Omen
http://www.zerohedge.com/article/couple-pointers-thestreetcom-blogging-etiquette
US Dollar breaks out of bullish channel and bullish wedge:
Any changing curcumstances
will be noted in the Wall
Street Forecaster Blog/
Subscribers to the Option Signal Service will be notified
when to take action.
Use link at the top of the page to subscribe now. $89.95 per
month.
FINANCIAL
EVENTS THIS COMING WEEK
|
Monday,
16-August-2010
08:30
AM Empire State Mfg Survey
09:00 AM Treasury International Capital
10:00 AM Housing Market Index
11:00 AM 4-Week Bill Announcement
11:30 AM 3-Month Bill Auction
11:30 AM 6-Month Bill Auction
Moon enters 4th quarter
Tuesday,
17-August-2010
06:00
AM E-Commerce Retail Sales
07:45 AM ICSC-Goldman Store Sales
08:30 AM Housing Starts
08:30 AM Producer Price Index
08:55 AM Redbook
09:15 AM Industrial Production
11:30 AM 4-Week Bill Auction
12:30 PM Narayana Kocherlakota Speaks
Wednesday,
18-August-2010
07:00
AM MBA Purchase Applications
10:30 AM EIA Petroleum Status Report
|
Thursday,
19-August-2010
08:30
AM Jobless Claims
10:00 AM Leading Indicators
10:00 AM Philadelphia Fed Survey
10:30 AM EIA Natural Gas Report
11:00 AM 3-Month Bill Announcement
11:00 AM 6-Month Bill Announcement
11:00 AM 52-Week Bill Announcement
11:00 AM 2-Yr Note Announcement
11:00 AM 5-Yr Note Announcement
11:00 AM 7-Yr Note Announcement
11:00 AM 30-Yr TIPS Announcement
11:30 AM James Bullard Speaks
01:00 PM Charles Evans Speaks
04:30 PM Fed Balance Sheet
04:30 PM Money Supply
Friday,
20-August-2010
08:00
AM No Announcements Today
|
|
Source: MyPivots
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