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OSS
INDICATORS -- 2010
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Previous
forecast with follow up |
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INDICATOR KEY
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Column R = Reversals
- A = Astrological
- C = Cyclical
- D = Dynamic
- G = Gann
- L = Linear
- - = Weaker than normal
- + = Stronger than normal
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Column T = Trend
- Expected trends for the week
- Especially likely when enclosed in ()'s
Column HIGH/LOW/CLOSE
Will be filled-in at the end
of the week with OEX data.
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Column V = Volatility
- The higher the number, the greater the volatility
- The highest number for the week should see
the largest move
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Week beginning 08/23/10
DATE
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R
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V
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T
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CHG
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CHG%
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HIGH
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HIGH%
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LOW
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LOW%
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Negative
and volatile in the beginning of the week,
then positive
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| 08/23/10 |
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2
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-
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-1.50
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-0.31
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4.57
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0.94
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-1.66
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-0.34
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| 08/24/10 |
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2
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-
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-6.92
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-1.43
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1.92
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-0.40
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-8.87
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-1.83
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| 08/25/10 |
A
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(+)
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1.23
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0.26
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3.13
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0.66
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-5.02
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-1.05
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| 08/26/10 |
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1
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+
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-3.90
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-0.81
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2.28
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0.48
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-4.64
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-0.97
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| 08/27/10 |
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1
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+
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7.18
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1.51
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7.51
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1.58
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-3.05
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-0.64
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FOLLOW
UP:
Negative in the beginning of the week
Positive in the latter part of the week
Wednesday was positive
Biggest move for the week was up
Friday was the big mover, not Monday or Tuesday
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Week beginning 08/30/10
DATE
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R
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V
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T
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CHG
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CHG%
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HIGH
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HIGH%
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LOW
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LOW%
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Probability
of a reversal on Monday is very high.
Monday or Tuesday will be a down day.
Wednesday should be the big mover for the
week.
Biggest move this week should be to the
down side.
66% chance Friday will be up.
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08/30/10
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CD
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.
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-
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-6.60 |
-1.37% |
0.03 |
0.01% |
-6.69 |
-1.39% |
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08/31/10
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.
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1
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-
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0.38 |
0.08% |
2.74 |
0.58% |
-3.51 |
-0.74% |
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09/01/10
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A
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2
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(-)
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13.31 |
2.80% |
13.75 |
2.89% |
0.09 |
0.02% |
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09/02/10
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C
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1
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.
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3.46 |
0.71% |
3.47 |
0.71% |
-0.22 |
-0.04% |
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09/03/10
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.
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.
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+
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6.46 |
1.31% |
6.59 |
1.34% |
1.72 |
0.35% |
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FOLLOW
UP:
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Monday
was down
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Wednesday
was the big mover this week
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Friday
was up
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We
were expecting a move down in the
beginning of the week, then a move
up..
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Big
move this week was to the up side,
not the down side.
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COMMENT:
We
were looking at Monday to be the most likely
reversal, but it was near the close on Tuesday
that the reversal manifest itself. Reversals
are frequently off by one day, but they
are usually one day early. This week, we
had two reversals indicators on Monday,
one on Wednesday, and one of Thursday. The
way the week worked out tells us all four
reversals acted as one big reversal.
This
would have been a hard week to trade. The
trend from the previous week was down, but
the last three days of the week saw the
market go sideways. Had we combined all
four reversals, and then considered the
fact that Monday moved down, we could have
traded Calls with some confidence. The OEX
SEP10 500 CALL opened at $1.00 on Tuesday,
and closed at $1.20. The option traded at
a high of $5.85 for the week.
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Week beginning 09/06/10
DATE
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R
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V
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T
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CHG
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CHG%
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HIGH
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HIGH%
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LOW
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LOW%
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Monday is Labor Day
Holidays always throw a wrench into the
machinery.
The first part of the week should be positive.
The three reversals this week have Thursday
as the most likey day
for the market to reverse.
Not possible to pick a big mover for the
week due to the holiday.
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09/06/10
(H)
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.
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2
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+
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.
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.
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.
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.
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.
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.
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09/07/10
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.
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2
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+
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-5.28
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-1.06
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-0.77
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-0.15
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-5.57
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-1.12
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09/08/10
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A
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1
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(+)
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3.10
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0.63
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5.03
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1.02
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0.14
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0.03
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09/09/10
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C
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1
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-
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3.02
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0.61
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5.46
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1.10
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0.94
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0.19
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09/10/10
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D
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2
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-
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2.46
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0.49
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3.09
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0.62
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-0.06
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-0.01
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FOLLOW
UP:
As
usually happens with Holiday weeks, nothing
really worked out. We got a the big mover
for the week on Tuesday which was one of
three days that had a 2 for volatility,
Wednesday was Up, and the reversal expected
on Thursday could still workout.
Holiday
weeks for time for traders to take a holiday.
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Week beginning 09/20/10
| DATE |
R |
V |
T |
CHG |
CHG% |
HIGH |
HIGH |
LOW |
LOW% |
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"D" cycles reversal on Sunday the 19th and Saturday the 25th
Major astrological reversal on the 19th.
Two failed "C" cycles last week, make first part of this week strong candidate for drop.
See newsletter for analysis of failed "C" cycles last week
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| 09/20/10 |
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0 |
- |
7.32 |
1.44 |
8.38 |
1.65 |
0.33 |
0.06 |
| 09/21/10 |
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2 |
- |
-0.83 |
-0.16 |
3.28 |
0.64 |
-2.22 |
-1.43 |
| 09/22/10 |
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1 |
- |
-1.70 |
-0.33 |
2.28 |
0.44 |
-2.92 |
-0.57 |
| 09/23/10 |
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1 |
- |
-4.37 |
-0.85 |
0.84 |
0.16 |
-5.35 |
-1.04 |
| 09/24/10 |
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0 |
(+) |
9.88 |
1.94 |
10.04 |
1.97 |
3.37 |
0.66 |
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Follow up:
Market finished down 3 out of the first 4 days.
Friday was up as indicated by the (+)
The big movers (+/- 1%) were Monday and Friday. As we often see, it was the day before the day that the indicator picked.
Comment:
The week was devoid of any reversals. The Jupiter/Uranus aspect on Sunday could have accounted for the upward move on Monday.
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Copyright © 2002, Handler
& Associates, Inc.
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